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Relationship dossier

Belarus Ukraine

Relationship assessment

Belarus’s role in Russia’s invasion has made relations with Ukraine sharply adversarial.

Belarus toward Ukraine

-75

Belarus allowed Russian forces to use its territory to launch the 2022 invasion of Ukraine and has provided continuing support for Russia’s war effort. These actions have made Belarus a direct security concern for Ukraine.

Ukraine toward Belarus

-55

Ukraine has imposed restrictive measures on Belarusian entities and officials and has strengthened security precautions along the Belarusian border in response to Belarus’s support for Russia’s invasion.

Overall relationship

-65

The enduring structure of the relationship is dominated by Belarus’s enabling role in Russia’s war against Ukraine. This has produced a severe security confrontation and Ukrainian restrictions on Belarus, outweighing earlier bilateral engagement.

How to read these scores

Scores are rough judgments, not objective measurements or current verification. Directional scores describe government policy and conduct, not public opinion. The overall score is an independent estimate, never an average.

−100
Extreme sustained hostility
−50
Substantially adversarial
0
Mixed or neutral, supported by knowledge
+50
Substantially cooperative
+100
Exceptionally close sustained partnership

“Not assessed” means there is no recorded score. Pair existence makes no claim about diplomatic recognition or established relations.

Relationship context

Knowledge coverageStrong

Overview

Belarus enabled Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine by allowing its territory to be used as a launch point and has continued to support Russia’s war effort. Ukraine has treated Belarus as a security threat and imposed restrictive measures. The relationship is shaped chiefly by Belarus’s role in the war and the resulting security confrontation.

Areas of tension

Key developments

Major uncertainties

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