Relationship dossier
Guatemala
Russia
Relationship assessment
Limited practical cooperation, with friction over vaccine deliveries and disagreement on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Guatemala toward Russia
-15Guatemala’s government purchased Sputnik V vaccines from Russia, but later condemned Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and supported international resolutions opposing it.
Russia toward Guatemala
-5Russia supplied Sputnik V vaccines to Guatemala under a government purchase contract, but deliveries were delayed and the contract became contentious.
Overall relationship
-10The relationship combines a concrete commercial health arrangement with political disagreement over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The vaccine contract provides a basis for practical engagement, while delivery problems and Guatemala’s stated opposition to the invasion have constrained the relationship. The broader scope and durability of bilateral cooperation are unclear.
How to read these scores
Scores are rough judgments, not objective measurements or current verification. Directional scores describe government policy and conduct, not public opinion. The overall score is an independent estimate, never an average.
- −100
- Extreme sustained hostility
- −50
- Substantially adversarial
- 0
- Mixed or neutral, supported by knowledge
- +50
- Substantially cooperative
- +100
- Exceptionally close sustained partnership
“Not assessed” means there is no recorded score. Pair existence makes no claim about diplomatic recognition or established relations.
Relationship context
Overview
Guatemala’s government has engaged Russia through a major Sputnik V vaccine purchase, but deliveries were delayed and the contract became a source of friction. Guatemala also condemned Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and supported international resolutions opposing it. These developments point to limited practical cooperation alongside significant political disagreement; the breadth of other bilateral cooperation is unclear.
Areas of tension
- Guatemala’s condemnation of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and support for international resolutions opposing it.
- Delays in Russian Sputnik V vaccine deliveries under Guatemala’s purchase contract.
Key developments
Guatemala’s government entered into a contract to purchase Sputnik V vaccines from Russia; subsequent delivery delays led to a dispute over the contract.
Guatemala condemned Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and supported international resolutions opposing it.
Major uncertainties
- The scope of bilateral cooperation beyond the vaccine contract is unclear.
- The extent of Russian vaccine deliveries and the final resolution of Guatemala’s contract dispute are unclear.
- The scale of ongoing bilateral engagement following Guatemala’s condemnation of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is unclear.