Relationship dossier
Russia
Tajikistan
Relationship assessment
Close security partnership, with recurring friction over migration and the treatment of Tajik workers in Russia
Russia toward Tajikistan
+75Russia maintains a substantial military presence in Tajikistan under the long-term agreement governing the 201st military base and cooperates with the Tajik government on security matters. Russia is also a major destination for Tajik migrant workers; Russian migration enforcement and treatment of Tajik nationals have at times strained ties.
Tajikistan toward Russia
+75Tajikistan hosts Russia's 201st military base under a long-term agreement and cooperates with Russia on security matters. The Tajik government has also raised concerns about the treatment of Tajik nationals in Russia, particularly in connection with migration enforcement.
Overall relationship
+75The relationship is anchored by durable military and security cooperation, including Russia's long-term military presence in Tajikistan and cooperation between the governments on regional security. Migration links are significant but have also generated disputes over enforcement and the treatment of Tajik nationals. These features support a close partnership that is not free of friction.
How to read these scores
Scores are rough judgments, not objective measurements or current verification. Directional scores describe government policy and conduct, not public opinion. The overall score is an independent estimate, never an average.
- −100
- Extreme sustained hostility
- −50
- Substantially adversarial
- 0
- Mixed or neutral, supported by knowledge
- +50
- Substantially cooperative
- +100
- Exceptionally close sustained partnership
“Not assessed” means there is no recorded score. Pair existence makes no claim about diplomatic recognition or established relations.
Relationship context
Overview
Russia and Tajikistan maintain a close security and strategic partnership. Russian forces remain at the 201st military base in Tajikistan under a long-term agreement, and the governments cooperate on regional security and military matters. Russia is also a major destination for Tajik migrant workers. Cooperation is substantial, though migration enforcement and the treatment of Tajik nationals in Russia have caused friction.
Areas of tension
- Russian migration enforcement and the treatment of Tajik nationals in Russia
Key developments
Russia and Tajikistan agreed to extend the presence of Russia's 201st military base in Tajikistan through 2042.
The governments have maintained bilateral military and security cooperation, including cooperation associated with the 201st military base.
Major uncertainties
- The practical scope and frequency of current joint security activities are unclear.
- The scale and effects of recent migration-related disputes are uncertain.